Marginal Personal Income Tax Changes: Tax Revenue, Welfare, and Labour Supply Responses

Abstract

We use a massive synthetic data set representative of the universe of taxpayers in Belgium to assess workers’ behaviour in response to marginal changes in the Personal Income Tax (PIT). We employ a novel tool for fiscal policy simulation, the Belgian arithmetic microsimulation model (Beamm), to derive individuals’ disposable income after the PIT and examine inequality and welfare indicators. A Random Utility Random Opportunity (RURO) model is estimated to calculate labour supply’s adjustments to modifications in the tax structure.

Publication
Work in progress
David Sonnewald
David Sonnewald
PhD Candidate in Economics